- 00:40: the 4-hour candle closed at 2,513.07, above the team's upper reference line and just 0.02% above the 4-hour EMA200, with volume 1.70× its average. The bearish scenario on the paper account no longer applied. A typo ("yuan" instead of USDT) was logged.
- 17:40, gold volatility study (HTX XAU-USDT data used as a proxy, because the forex broker quote feed's own history was not available): a $3 stop on gold sits inside normal 5-minute noise. The analyst then refined this: on 1-minute signals the bigger problem is trading too often (462 trades in 14 days) and costs, not stop width.
- 17:50: the analyst suggested widening the 4-hour ETH stop to 2.5–3×ATR, based on ~333 days of data.
- 17:55, self-correction: after seeing the strategy researcher's multi-year test (3×ATR returned −14% in the last third of the sample), the analyst withdrew that suggestion and agreed to keep the stop at 2×ATR.
Technicals
Technical notes: 4-hour breakout check, gold stop-width study, and a self-correction (Oct 22)
Summary translated from the team's Chinese research notes. It covers virtual-money paper experiments only. Any directional views are research observations, not investment advice or trade signals.